TSM
Pending Latest rating：Hold
Entry zone
395.5 – 412.6
Near market · as of 2026-10-16
Stop
389.4
initial distance -5.6%
Full size
10.0%
in tranches 40% / 30% / 30%
Support / resistance
395.5 / 412.9
ATR(14) 12.27
CloseEntry zoneStop
Triggers
- ArmedFirst tranche: price enters the entry zone4.0%@ 412.6
- ArmedAdd 1: pullback holds support (confirmed at close, executed next open)3.0%@ 398.6
- FrozenAdd 2: breakout above resistance on volume, held 2 days3.0%@ 412.9
- ArmedStop: sell everything below this price@ 389.4
Timeline
- Rating change · Buy → Hold
- Entered pool@ 412.6
Rating historyChinese only
- Hold上调前的入场区间为 395–413，现价已高出约 5%，Lam 盘后拖累设备链情绪，等回踩 412 附近再加仓（较上期由买入下调：价格脱离入场区间）
- Buy代工龙头 fPE 18 处在合理偏低水位，相对强弱优于 SOX；现价高于候补区间 395–413，以 413 附近为加仓参考，止损 389.36
- Buy基本面最强、反弹唯一放量的半导体龙头；候补入场区 395.49–412.61，现价略高，回踩分批，止损 389.36（详见模块十一）
- Buy唯一一只"业绩已兑现 + 管理层明示供不应求 + 仍站稳 200 日均线"的算力核心资产，回踩 395–412 区间分批，破 395 止损
Earlier rounds
| In | Out | Entry | P&L | R | Exit reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | 2026-10-08 | 441.2 | +5.5% | 1.49 | Trailing stop |
| 2026-07-17 | 2026-09-15 | 400.3 | -0.5% | -0.07 | Trailing stop |
Paper portfolio executed mechanically from published rules. Not real trades, not investment advice.